Every claim, with its source and its limits.

Evidence register

What we know, and how we know it.

Each line carries a mark for the kind of evidence behind it.

• Independently assessed
• Documented
• Indaba records
• Proposal under discussion
• Model, not a result

• 81%

  of 48 children in 15 CoRE-affiliated programmes in Kayamandi on track for their age overall, against 46% of children in early learning programmes nationally.

  ELOM 4&5, independent accredited assessor, June 2026; national figure Thrive by Five Index 2024. A once-off snapshot: it shows where children stood, not what caused it.

  Independently assessed

• 84% vs 42%

  children aged 50 to 59 months on track overall, against the same age group nationally.

  Same assessment, children aged 50 to 59 months (a subset of the 48), as reproduced from the assessor's report in Indaba's 2026 investment thesis. Gross motor development matched the national figure: 44% vs 44%.

  Independently assessed

• 7

  modules over seven months, one week a month, so women never leave their jobs to train.

  Programme design (Prospectus 2024). The 2024 Impact Overview describes six modules.

  Documented

• 5+

  months of mentoring visits to every centre after the last module.

  Programme design (Prospectus 2024). How consistently this happens is not yet reported.

  Documented

• 500+

  women early childhood teachers trained through CoRE so far, from 500+ centres.

  Indaba management figure, October 2026. Not yet in a published report; completion and retention are not yet reported.

  Indaba records

• 85,000

  children those teachers will teach over their careers.

  Indaba model: 500 teachers × about 170 children each (the costed plan uses 169 per career). A projection, not a count of children reached.

  Model, not a result

• 892

  centre improvement visits and 672 hours of mentoring in 2023.

  Indaba Impact Overview 2024.

  Indaba records

• 5 000+

  children in the care of CoRE-trained practitioners in 2023.

  Indaba estimate (Impact Overview 2024); the method is not stated.

  Indaba records

• 35

  teachers and principals from 31 centres began Kayamandi 2025 Group 1.

  Summary of the Kayamandi 2025 Group 1 report published by the Indaba Institute. Starting group; completion not yet reported.

  Indaba records

• 5

  active CoRE facilitators.

  ELOM evidence briefing, June 2026.

  Indaba records

• 26 → 5

  facilitators targeted for 2024–2026 in April 2024, against five active CoRE facilitators in June 2026. The target was not met; that is why forming facilitators is the first line of the costed plan.

  Impact Overview 2024 (targets); ELOM evidence briefing, June 2026 (active). Delivery totals for 2024–2026 are not yet documented.

  Indaba records

• ≈70

  teachers a facilitator could train in a year. A planning assumption behind every reach figure on this site; it has not yet been observed.

  Indaba Strategic Investment Thesis, p. 7; Chapter Two Launchpad, p. 11

  Model, not a result

• 30 · 169

  children per teacher in a year, and over a career. Planning assumptions; lifetime figures count children taught, not unique children.

  Indaba's costed national plan (proposal p. 6)

  Model, not a result

• ≈US$20

  per child taught over teachers' careers: the costed plan's US$5M divided by about 248 430. A model, not a measured cost. The US$10–30 range shown on the home page is a target.

  Indaba's costed national plan (proposal pp. 6–7)

  Model, not a result

• 63

  South Africa's Gini index, among the highest measured anywhere. A national figure: no Kayamandi-level measure exists.

  World Bank, World Development Indicators (2014 survey)

  Documented

• Plan

  A costed three-year national programme has been prepared as a proposal. It is not signed or funded.

  Proposal prepared for partners; planning estimates.

  Proposal under discussion

Figures from 2024 to 2026 are incomplete: totals for those years are still being compiled.